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Our
projected Field of 63
As is traditional,
we have attempted to project the field of 63 based on the same criteria
the NCAA national committee will be using on Sunday night. They give us
40 gimmes in the automatic bids and we have to figure out the 3 Pool B
and 20 Pool C bids. (Pool
B and C explained)
Primary
criteria
The following primary criteria (not in priority order) will be reviewed:
• Win-loss percentage against regional opponents
• Strength-of-schedule (only contests versus regional competition).
- Opponents’ Average Winning Percentage (OWP).
- Opponents’ Opponents’ Average Winning Percentage (OOWP).
• In-region head-to-head competition.
• In-region results vs. common regional opponents.
• In-region results vs. regionally ranked teams
Secondary criteria
• Out-of-region head-to-head competition.
• Overall Division III won-loss percentage.
• Results versus common non-Division III opponents.
• Results versus all Division III ranked teams.
• Overall win-loss percentage.
• Results versus all common opponents.
• Overall Division III stregth of schedule.
The NCAA will tell us who is in the women's tournament
tonight, and will give us pairings for those teams on Monday morning. Coincidentally, we believe it doesn't matter who wins on Sunday. In three of the conferences who play Sunday, we believe both teams are in. In the other three, only the champion will get in.
Our Pool B teams were Scranton, Moravian and Chapman.
Here are our Pool
C teams:
Rochester
Amherst
Tufts
NYU
UW-Eau Claire
Messiah
UW-Whitewater
Greensboro
York (Pa.)
DePauw
Brandeis
Eastern Connecticut
Washington and Jefferson
Western Connecticut
Kean
Marymount
Ithaca
Concordia-Moorhead
UT-Dallas
Baldwin-Wallace
This projects Howard Payne to win the ASC. Otherwise, we have Howard Payne in as the last Pool C pick, bumping Baldwin-Wallace. When we selected the last Pool C team, the seven teams remaining on the board were Montclair State, St. Norbert, Cortland State, Lebanon Valley, Keene State, Hardin-Simmons and La Verne.
This is during Sunday's games started.
How to read this bracket: Unless otherwise noted, seeds 1 and 8, and 4 and 5 play at the No. 1 seed. Seeds 2 and 7, and 3 and 6, play at the No. 2 seed.
BRACKET 1
1 Amherst
2 Bowdoin
3 Brandeis
4 Southern Maine
5 Emmanuel
6 Babson
7 Castleton State
8 Salve Regina
Breaking up three NESCAC teams and three LEC teams wasn't completely possible. Here Amherst and Bowdoin wouldn't meet until the Sweet 16.
BRACKET 2
1 Rochester
2 NYU
3 Tufts
4 Eastern Connecticut
5 Ithaca
6 Stevens
7 St. Lawrence
8 Westfield State
The East was one of the hardest regions to rank, but not the hardest. You see a couple of Northeast teams spill over.
BRACKET 3
1 Scranton
2 Muhlenberg
3 Moravian
4 DeSales
5 Western Connecticut
6 Cabrini
7 Widener
8 Keuka
The pecking order in this region didn't change much since last week's regional rankings.
BRACKET 4
1 York (Pa.)
2 Mount St. Mary
3 TCNJ
4 Messiah
5 Mary Washington
6 Kean
7 Marymount
8 Baruch
York remained the top seed despite the loss. Kean would play Messiah and Mary Wash would play TCNJ here.
BRACKET 5
1 Hope
2 Thomas More
3 DePauw
4 Washington and Jefferson
5 Capital
6 Baldwin-Wallace
7 Pitt-Greensburg
8 Brockport State
Brockport can get to Hope within the 500-mile busing radius, yes.
BRACKET 6
1 Illinois Wesleyan
2 Washington U.
3 UW-Eau Claire
4 UW-Whitewater
5 Concordia (Wis.)
6 Ohio Wesleyan
7 Maryville (Mo.)
8 Ripon
We couldn't split the three WIAC teams over three brackets like we wanted. We also couldn't give IWU the bye we wanted.
BRACKET 7
1 Oglethorpe *
2 Greensboro *
3 Texas-Dallas
4 Howard Payne
5 Randolph-Macon
6 Christopher Newport
7 Transylvania *
8 Maryville (Tenn.) *
The teams with asterisks play in the same regional, at Oglethorpe. All can drive. Two flights to UT-Dallas.
BRACKET 8
1 George Fox *
2 UW-Stevens Point
3 St. Benedict
4 Simpson
5 Concordia-Moorhead
6 Occidental *
7 Chapman *
BYE
Bye goes here, mostly for geography, though it's not like George Fox isn't worthy. Concordia vs. UW-SP, Simpson vs. St. Ben's.
Remember, this is before Sunday's games. Some seedings could change and teams could swap places based on those outcomes.
We did make a late change, to swap UW-Stevens Point and UW-Eau Claire in the bracket so that WIAC champ UW-SP hosts.