Experts determine Carthage has clinched bid KENOSHA, Wis. – Carthage beat North Park 74-59 on Monday night to clinch at least a tie for the CCIW title and, according to CCIW tiebreaker experts Gregory Sager and Bob Quillman, the CCIW's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Although Augustana can win out and tie the No. 1-ranked Redmen for the CCIW title at 10-4, Carthage would still win the automatic bid in the third tiebreaker. According to Sager:
* If the Redmen were to lose their last three games, and Augustana won out, then both teams would finish 10-4 and tied for first. The first tiebreaker, head-to-head, would be a wash – because for this scenario to happen, Augie would have to beat Carthage up in Kenosha on Feb. 23. Carthage beat Augie 64-63 in Rock Island on Jan. 23.
* The second tiebreaker, comparative records against other CCIW teams starting from the third-place team and working down the standings, would also be a wash. Both Carthage and Augie would've split with the same three other teams – Elmhurst, Millikin, and Wheaton.
* The third tiebreaker is road record. Carthage's CCIW road record would be 6-1. The best Augie can do at this point on the road is finish 4-3. Therefore, Carthage wins the third tiebreaker, and thus the CCIW's Pool A bid.
But if you're not convinced by this, they can put your doubts to rest on Wednesday, Feb. 13, at Millikin. |